If we wish to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is an excellent sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers plus some nice guaranteed profitable bets can be purchased if you know where and when to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your money from you and there are lots of inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in many ways talk about timing. The quicker the price appears the more likely you will see a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do a lot of research as soccer has be a big earner on their behalf. They have to accomplish this because they are only too conscious that the serious punters have become much shrewder in this particular market and definately will exploit any snippets of news that could give them an edge. They advertise heavily within the tabloids.
Whereas in certain minor sports there may be just one odds compiler doing work for the bookmaker soccer is too lucrative for this any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for that big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will provide odds on soccer, its a very high revenue turnover sport.
Such could be the turnover on the escalating IBO88 that Ladbrokes along with other such big bookmakers are prepared to take a ‘big’ bet on the outcome of a match. This really is clearly great news for that arb maker. This means that the maximum bets they are going to accept over a bet are much higher.
There are many types of soccer bets. Firstly there is a match winner. This really is divided into 3 results, win, lose or draw. And then there are the very first goal scorer and the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total numbers of yellow and red cards and so forth. Actually anything where odds can be set to will offer you a betting opportunity.
So what are the best soccer bets to search for? Firstly ignore predicting the match score, you will find way too many outcomes. The very first goal scorer is a total waste of time too. Both these kinds of bets are heavily advertised but are for mug punters only, the odds consistently offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly overtaking 15% profit on the book. These bets have far too many possible outcomes. We are trying to find bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
How you can play the soccer marketplace is to open up accounts with European bookmakers as the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is an excellent source of sure bets. Both of them have strong opinions on this sport. They will price the sport in their country and also the matches in foreign countries. Anything to produce a profit.
Italy, as an example is even more soccer crazy compared to UK, with newspapers committed to the sport. Everyone thinks they know best about this subject and egos get in the way of sensible pricing. This can be great news for people. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where since they may well have greater detailed knowledge of the comings and goings in their own individual countries these are depending on third parties to collate info on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is in midweek games between teams of different nationalities. There is a tendency in punters to get patriotic when it comes to events where opposition are ‘foreign’. The probability of your home team get talked up and the odds might get skewed within their favour because the weight of cash is overly wagered in their direction.
Having said that the large bookmakers offer an early price, they will often advertise it in the national papers and generally stick to it. Which means that a bench mark has been set and subsequent bookmakers may require a different opinion or attempt to tempt money in their direction by offering different odds. If this would happen the arb may be around for a great deal of time.
There are always discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers tend to stick across the same price. They figure there exists safety in numbers. But remember these are ‘guessing’ exactly what the odds needs to be just like you and me. These are basing their opinion on past experience plus they might utilise statistical formulae however they still have to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can obtain it wrong as well as other firms can require a completely different take a look at the outcome of any game. An entirely different view will simply result in a slight variation inside the odds but this can be sufficient to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is first of all the more obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They will be included in a variety of bookmakers around Europe. This does however put in a complication. Although quite simple for locating arbs, the mere fact that you focus on these obscure matches will throw the possibility that you are going to get spotted from the bookmakers should you concentrate your action here.
Also they will be hesitant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they may have done little research. On the other hand it is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You have to weigh up the pros and cons of this strategy.
This is a fairly obscure section of betting and in case someone was to check your account over numerous months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on the account it could ring alarm bells. The motto the following is to dilute the bets by betting on as numerous different kind of sport and events as is possible which means that your accounts have varied bets to them. This shouldn’t become a problem as numerous different sports are great for sure bets.
The more prominent European ties will even produce arbs and they are generally less likely to bring in attention to you together with the highest bets will be higher.
As before you are unable to control whether or not the individual bets win or lose but soccer is really a 3 way result therefore 2 losing bets to a single winning one can be of use on your own account. The point the following is that does not lots of people are interested in the lower European divisions and it also may become clear that this betting pattern is a touch unusual. This is especially valid in case your bets towards the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be considered a lucrative area in soccer. Consider it. When a player fails a late fitness test on the Saturday and then he will be the teams star striker then this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play at the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am not implying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. But the odds on the game clearly changed the moment this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert for this and altered prices because the money poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted whatsoever. Either way arbs were available. This sort of last minute frantic activity is particularly keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair that you can work as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the many soccer internet sites. Alternatively satellite television channels always have comprehensive news coverage of all of the games and are quick to provide any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, although not all concurrently, only one after the other so creating sure bets.
Within this scenario where prices are changing bet on the old price first. The brand new cost is the one which wont change the previous prices are one that is going to therefore may be lost in case you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be about timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then your arbs are more inclined to show up.
Recently the English referees have grown to be more lenient in the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for the total number of bookings in a game. A few of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly as well as others failed to. This can impact the bet ranges applied for total bookings.
Let’s consider the red and yellow card market. If you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for a yellow card and 25 points for any red. A player can get yourself a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say odds of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 and over 30 points, the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a history of animosity in between the teams in which case chances are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this kind of bet is not going to figure strongly in your plans. And it also is unusual to find information being issued that will affect the total bookings bet. But a basic piece of news like the insurance policy for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to several arb. The final outcome is not to anticipate too much sure betting activity through the issuing of red and yellow cards nevertheless it not so difficult to check the percentages.